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Cover Page
Overview| Prepared for Private Banking & Wealth Management Review | |||||||||
| Valuation Date: 31 March 2025 | |||||||||
| Report Date: 27 February 2026 | |||||||||
| Company | Precision Engineering Ltd | Gross Margin | 36.0% | ||||||
| FY2025 Turnover | £27 million | EBITDA Margin | 13.7% | ||||||
| Sector | Engineering Services | Current Ratio | 2.5x | ||||||
| Employees | 185 (estimated) | Altman Z-Score | 3.84 | ||||||
| Founded | 1998 | Assessment | ✅ Safe Zone | ||||||
| Enterprise Value Range | £24,195k | — | £30,265k | ||||||
| Equity Value Range | £23,045k | — | £29,115k | ||||||
| Methodologies: DCF (Base Case) · EV/EBITDA Multiples · EV/Revenue Multiples | |||||||||
| Basis of Value: Market Value, 100% equity basis, going concern | |||||||||
| 1 | Dashboard | Executive summary, KPIs, valuation overview | |||||||
| 2 | Profit & Loss | 3-year historical income statement (FY2023–FY2025) | |||||||
| 3 | EBITDA Bridge | Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation with normalisation | |||||||
| 4 | Balance Sheet | 3-year balance sheet with net asset analysis | |||||||
| 5 | Ratios & Statistics | Profitability, liquidity, solvency, DuPont, Z-Score | |||||||
| 6 | Forecast, DCF & Comparables | 5-year forecast, DCF valuation, comparable analysis | |||||||
| This report has been prepared using illustrative test data for demonstration purposes. All financial figures, comparable company data, | |||||||||
| and valuation conclusions are hypothetical and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. A formal valuation would require | |||||||||
| audited accounts, management interviews, and independent market research. This document is strictly confidential and intended solely | |||||||||
| for the addressee. | |||||||||
Dashboard
Overview| BUSINESS VALUATION REPORT | |||||||||
| Precision Engineering Ltd | Valuation Date: 31 March 2025 | CONFIDENTIAL | |||||||||
| VALUATION SUMMARY | |||||||||
| Methodology | EV (£'000) | Equity (£'000) | FY2025 Metric | Value | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Base Case) | £24,195 | £23,045 | Revenue | 27000 | |||||
| EV/Revenue (Comps) | £29,816 | £28,666 | Reported EBITDA | 3699 | |||||
| EV/EBITDA (Comps) | £30,265 | £29,115 | Adjusted EBITDA | 4049 | |||||
| Total Assets | £13,493 | ||||||||
| Implied Valuation Range | Total Equity | £6,941 | |||||||
| EV Range (£'000) | £24,195 | to | £30,265 | Net Debt | 250 | ||||
| Equity Range (£'000) | £23,045 | to | £29,115 | Altman Z-Score | 3.84 | ||||
| Assessment | ✅ Safe Zone | ||||||||
| FINANCIAL RATIOS | |||||||||
| Ratio | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |||
| Gross Margin | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | Gross Margin | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | ||
| EBITDA Margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | EBITDA Margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | ||
| Net Margin | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | Net Margin | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | ||
| ROE | 36.2% | 33.1% | 31.1% | ||||||
| ROA | 14.9% | 15.4% | 16.0% | ||||||
| Current Ratio | 2.28 | 2.38 | 2.49 | ||||||
| Quick Ratio | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.92 | ||||||
| Debt/Equity | 63.4% | 47.1% | 35.3% | ||||||
| Interest Coverage | 17.61 | 20.74 | 24.66 | ||||||
| Revenue Growth | n/a | 8.0% | 6.5% | ||||||
| ROCE | 31.8% | 31.9% | 32.2% | ||||||
| Valuation Chart Data | EV (£'000) | ||||||||
| DCF | £24,195 | ||||||||
| EV/Revenue | £29,816 | ||||||||
| EV/EBITDA | £30,265 | ||||||||
Deal Scenarios
Deal Structure| DEAL SCENARIO COMPARISON | ||||||||||
| 5 Funding Structures Ranked by Affordability (DSCR & EBITDA Coverage) | ||||||||||
| £'000 | ||||||||||
| Description | Conservative: Bank + Large Equity | Bank + Deferred (4yr) + Equity | Bank + Deferred + Balloon Refi | Bank + Loan Notes + Balloon Refi | Full Creative: All Sources | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEAL PRICE (£'000) | 28000 | 28000 | 28000 | 28000 | 28000 | |||||
| FUNDING SOURCES (Day 1) | ||||||||||
| Max Bank Debt (from Feasibility) | 11097 | 11097 | 11097 | 11097 | 11097 | |||||
| % of Max Capacity | 1 | 90.0% | 90.0% | 72.0% | 81.0% | |||||
| Senior Bank Debt | 11097 | 9987 | 9987 | 7990 | 8989 | |||||
| Completion Payment (Buyer Equity/Cash) | 16903 | 11818 | 10818 | 10815 | 8816 | |||||
| Deferred Consideration | 0 | 2195 | 2195 | 3195 | 2195 | |||||
| Deferred Term (years) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |||||
| Vendor Loan Notes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2000 | 2000 | |||||
| Loan Note Rate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.0% | 4.0% | |||||
| Loan Note Term (years) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||||
| Balloon (refi via new bank facility at Yr 4) | 0 | 4000 | 5000 | 4000 | 6000 | |||||
| Balloon Refi Rate | 0 | 0 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | |||||
| Balloon Refi Term (years) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |||||
| TOTAL SOURCES | 28000 | 28000 | 28000 | 28000 | 28000 | |||||
| Balance Check | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| YEAR-BY-YEAR CASH FLOW WATERFALL (4yr deferred period) | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | Scenario 5 | |||||
| Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | Scenario 5 | ||||||
| EBITDA (from Projections) | ||||||||||
| Year 1 (FY2026) | £3,884 | £3,884 | £3,884 | £3,884 | £3,884 | |||||
| Year 2 (FY2027) | £4,078 | £4,078 | £4,078 | £4,078 | £4,078 | |||||
| Year 3 (FY2028) | £4,282 | £4,282 | £4,282 | £4,282 | £4,282 | |||||
| Year 4 (FY2029) | £4,496 | £4,496 | £4,496 | £4,496 | £4,496 | |||||
| TOTAL ANNUAL COST BY YEAR | ||||||||||
| Yr 1: Bank P+I + Deferred + LN | £2,362 | £2,675 | £2,675 | £2,281 | £3,042 | |||||
| Yr 2: Bank P+I + Deferred + LN | £2,362 | £2,675 | £2,675 | £2,281 | £3,042 | |||||
| Yr 3: Bank P+I + Deferred + LN | £2,362 | £2,675 | £2,675 | £2,281 | £3,042 | |||||
| Yr 4: Bank P+I + Deferred + LN | £2,362 | £2,675 | £2,675 | £2,281 | £3,042 | |||||
| DSCR BY YEAR (EBITDA / Total Annual Cost) | ||||||||||
| Year 1 | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.70 | 1.28 | |||||
| Year 2 | 1.73 | 1.52 | 1.52 | 1.79 | 1.34 | |||||
| Year 3 | 1.81 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.88 | 1.41 | |||||
| Year 4 | 1.90 | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.97 | 1.48 | |||||
| 4-YEAR ACQUISITION CLEARANCE | ||||||||||
| Completion Payment (Day 1) | 16903 | 11818 | 10818 | 10815 | 8816 | |||||
| Deferred Paid (over 4 yrs) | 0 | 2195 | 2195 | 3195 | 2195 | |||||
| Loan Notes Repaid (over 4 yrs) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2000 | 2000 | |||||
| Bank Principal Paid (4 yrs) | £6,341 | £5,707 | £5,707 | £4,566 | £5,137 | |||||
| TOTAL CLEARED BY YEAR 4 | £23,244 | £19,720 | £18,720 | £20,576 | £18,148 | |||||
| % of Deal Price Cleared | 83.0% | 70.4% | 66.9% | 73.5% | 64.8% | |||||
| REMAINING DEBT AFTER YEAR 4 | ||||||||||
| Bank Balance Outstanding | £4,756 | £4,280 | £4,280 | £3,424 | £3,852 | |||||
| Balloon (new bank refi facility) | 0 | 4000 | 5000 | 4000 | 6000 | |||||
| TOTAL ONGOING DEBT (Yr 5 onwards) | £4,756 | £8,280 | £9,280 | £7,424 | £9,852 | |||||
| AFFORDABILITY & RANKING | ||||||||||
| Min DSCR (worst year, Yrs 1-4) | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.70 | 1.28 | |||||
| Yr 4 DSCR (tightest year) | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.70 | 1.28 | |||||
| DSCR PASS (all years ≥ 1.25x)? | ✅ PASS | ✅ PASS | ✅ PASS | ✅ PASS | ✅ PASS | |||||
| Rank (by Min DSCR) | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |||||
| Verdict | ✅ STRONG | ✅ ADEQUATE | ✅ ADEQUATE | ✅ STRONG | ✅ ADEQUATE | |||||
Feasibility Inputs
Deal Structure| ACQUISITION FEASIBILITY REPORT | ||||||
| Funding Assessment & Deal Structuring Tool | ||||||
| £'000 | ||||||
| COMPANY & DEAL INFORMATION | ||||||
| Company Name | Precision Engineering Ltd | |||||
| Sector | Engineering Services | |||||
| Valuation Date | 2025-04-01 00:00:00 | |||||
| Target Acquisition Price (£'000) | 24195 | ← Enterprise Value (user editable) | ||||
| UK Corporation Tax Rate | 25.0% | |||||
| HISTORICAL P&L (3 YEARS) | ||||||
| Revenue | £23,474 | £25,352 | 27000 | Linked from P&L tab | ||
| Cost of Sales | -£15,023 | -£16,225 | -17280 | |||
| Gross Profit | £8,451 | £9,127 | 9720 | |||
| Gross Margin % | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | |||
| Total Operating Expenses | -£5,282 | -£5,704 | -6021 | |||
| EBITDA | £3,169 | £3,423 | 3699 | |||
| EBITDA Margin % | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | |||
| Depreciation & Amortisation | -587 | -634 | -675 | |||
| EBIT (Operating Profit) | £2,582 | £2,789 | 3024 | |||
| Interest Expense | -180 | -165 | -150 | |||
| Net Profit After Tax | £1,802 | £1,968 | £2,156 | |||
| Revenue Growth % | n/a | 8.0% | 6.5% | |||
| HISTORICAL BALANCE SHEET (KEY ITEMS) | ||||||
| Total Non-Current Assets | 4850 | 4820 | 4790 | Linked from BS tab | ||
| Trade Receivables | £3,537 | £3,820 | £4,068 | |||
| Inventory | 1850 | 1920 | 2000 | |||
| Cash & Equivalents | 1450 | 1800 | 2200 | |||
| Total Assets | £12,067 | £12,770 | £13,493 | |||
| Total Equity | £4,971 | £5,939 | £6,941 | |||
| Long-Term Borrowings | 2800 | 2500 | 2200 | |||
| Short-Term Borrowings | 350 | 300 | 250 | |||
| Trade Payables | £1,646 | £1,778 | £1,894 | |||
| Total Liabilities | £7,097 | £6,831 | £6,553 | |||
| Net Debt | 1700 | 1000 | 250 | LT Debt + ST Debt - Cash | ||
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 53.6% | 29.2% | 6.8% | |||
| Adjusted EBITDA (normalised) | £3,497 | £3,883 | 4049 | From EBITDA Bridge | ||
| FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||
| Revenue CAGR (5yr forecast) | 5.0% | Per existing model | ||||
| Gross Margin % | 36.0% | From FY2025 actual | ||||
| Opex as % of Revenue | 22.3% | From FY2025 actual | ||||
| Depreciation as % of Revenue | 2.5% | Per existing assumptions | ||||
| Capex as % of Revenue | 3.0% | Maintenance + growth | ||||
| Working Capital Increase as % of Rev Growth | 40.0% | % of incremental revenue | ||||
| UK LENDING RATE ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||
| BoE Base Rate | 4.5% | Current BoE rate — user adjustable | ||||
| Bank Margin (over base) | 2.5% | Typical UK SME acquisition margin 2-4% | ||||
| All-In Variable Rate (Base + Margin) | 7.0% | |||||
| Fixed Rate Option | 7.5% | Alternative fixed rate — user adjustable | ||||
| Rate Used in Model | Variable | Enter 'Variable' or 'Fixed' | ||||
| Effective Rate Applied | 7.0% | Auto-calculated from toggle above | ||||
| Bank Loan Term (years) | 7 | Typical UK acquisition loan 5-10 years | ||||
| Max Leverage (Debt / EBITDA) | 3 | UK lender typical max 2.5-3.5x | ||||
4-Year Projections
Deal Structure| 4-YEAR PROJECTIONS — FULL 3-STATEMENT MODEL | ||||||
| 4-year forecast from FY2026 matching deferred funding period | ||||||
| £'000 | ||||||
| PROJECTED P&L | ||||||
| Revenue | 27000 | 28350 | £29,768 | £31,256 | £32,819 | |
| Cost of Sales | -17280 | -18144 | -£19,051 | -£20,004 | -£21,004 | |
| Gross Profit | 9720 | 10206 | £10,716 | £11,252 | £11,815 | |
| Operating Expenses | -6021 | -£6,322 | -£6,638 | -£6,970 | -£7,319 | |
| EBITDA | 3699 | £3,884 | £4,078 | £4,282 | £4,496 | |
| EBITDA Margin % | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | |
| Depreciation & Amortisation | -675 | -709 | -744 | -781 | -820 | |
| EBIT (Operating Profit) | 3024 | £3,175 | £3,334 | £3,501 | £3,676 | |
| Interest Expense (on acquisition debt) | -150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profit Before Tax | 2874 | £3,175 | £3,334 | £3,501 | £3,676 | |
| Taxation | -718 | -794 | -833 | -875 | -919 | |
| Net Profit After Tax | £2,156 | £2,381 | £2,500 | £2,625 | £2,757 | |
| Revenue Growth % | Base | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | |
| PROJECTED CASH FLOW STATEMENT | ||||||
| EBITDA | 3699 | £3,884 | £4,078 | £4,282 | £4,496 | |
| Less: Tax on EBIT | -756 | -794 | -833 | -875 | -919 | |
| Less: Capex | -810 | -850 | -893 | -938 | -985 | |
| Less: Working Capital Increase | 0 | -540 | -567 | -595 | -625 | |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) | 2133 | £1,700 | £1,785 | £1,874 | £1,968 | |
| Less: Interest Expense | -150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tax Shield on Interest | 37.50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow (LFCF) | £2,020 | £1,700 | £1,785 | £1,874 | £1,968 | |
| LFCF Margin % | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | |
| Cumulative UFCF (4yr) | £1,700 | £3,484 | £5,358 | £7,326 | ||
| Cumulative LFCF (4yr) | £1,700 | £3,484 | £5,358 | £7,326 | ||
Funding Feasibility
Deal Structure| FUNDING FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT | ||||||
| UK Lender Criteria & Maximum Borrowing Assessment | ||||||
| KEY INPUTS SUMMARY | ||||||
| Target Acquisition Price (£'000) | 24195 | Min DSCR | 1.25 | |||
| FY2025 EBITDA (£'000) | 3699 | Min Interest Cover | 2 | |||
| Adj. EBITDA (normalised) (£'000) | 4049 | Max Debt / EBITDA | 3 | |||
| Effective Interest Rate | 7.0% | Max Debt / Adj. EBITDA | 3.50 | |||
| Loan Term (years) | 7 | Max LTV (Loan to Value) | 70.0% | |||
| Avg Projected EBITDA (4yr) | £4,185 | |||||
| 4yr Cumulative UFCF | £7,326 | |||||
| MAXIMUM BORROWING CAPACITY | ||||||
| Based on Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 11097 | 3.0x × EBITDA of 3,699 | ||||
| Based on Adj. EBITDA Leverage | £14,172 | 3.5x × Adj. EBITDA of 4,049 | ||||
| Based on LTV | £16,936 | 70% of acquisition price 24,195 | ||||
| Based on DSCR (annual repayment capacity) | £23,436 | EBITDA ÷ Min DSCR × Term | ||||
| MAXIMUM SENIOR DEBT (binding constraint) | 11097 | Binding: Leverage | ||||
| Equity / Cash Required (Gap) | 13098 | Acquisition price less max debt | ||||
| Annual Debt Service (P+I) | £2,362 | Principal repayment + interest | ||||
| Implied DSCR | 1.77 | ✅ PASS (>1.25x) | ||||
| Implied Interest Cover (EBITDA/Interest) | 5.39 | ✅ PASS (>2.00x) | ||||
| Debt / EBITDA | 3 | ✅ PASS (≤3.0x) | ||||
| OVERALL VERDICT | ||||||
| Bank Funding Available? | ✅ YES | |||||
| Max Senior Debt (£'000) | 11097 | 45.9% of deal funded by bank | ||||
| Equity / Other Funding Needed (£'000) | 13098 | 54.1% to be covered by other sources | ||||
| Funding Gap as Multiple of EBITDA | 3.54 | |||||
P&L
Financial Model| PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT | |||||
| Precision Engineering Ltd | |||||
| £'000 | |||||
| Revenue | £23,474 | £25,352 | 27000 | Per Assumptions | |
| Cost of Sales | -£15,023 | -£16,225 | -17280 | Gross margin per Assumptions | |
| Gross Profit | £8,451 | £9,127 | 9720 | ||
| Gross Margin % | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | ||
| Operating Expenses | |||||
| Admin & Management Staff | -£2,934 | -£3,169 | -3321 | Largest opex - labour intensive | |
| Premises & Facilities | -£1,056 | -£1,141 | -1215 | ||
| Professional & Legal | -352 | -380 | -405 | ||
| Insurance | -188 | -203 | -216 | ||
| Other Operating Costs | -751 | -811 | -864 | ||
| Total Operating Expenses | -£5,282 | -£5,704 | -6021 | ||
| EBITDA | £3,169 | £3,423 | 3699 | ||
| EBITDA Margin % | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | ||
| Depreciation & Amortisation | -587 | -634 | -675 | ||
| EBIT (Operating Profit) | £2,582 | £2,789 | 3024 | ||
| EBIT Margin % | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | ||
| Interest Expense | -180 | -165 | -150 | Declining with debt repayment | |
| Profit Before Tax (PBT) | £2,402 | £2,624 | 2874 | ||
| Taxation | -601 | -656 | -718 | 25% UK Corp Tax | |
| Net Profit After Tax | £1,802 | £1,968 | £2,156 | ||
| Net Margin % | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | ||
| Revenue Growth % | n/a | 8.0% | 6.5% | ||
EBITDA Bridge
Financial Model| EBITDA BRIDGE & NORMALISATION ANALYSIS | |||||
| Reconciliation from Reported to Adjusted EBITDA | |||||
| £'000 | |||||
| REPORTED EBITDA | £3,169 | £3,423 | 3699 | Per P&L Statement | |
| EBITDA Margin % | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | ||
| OWNER / DIRECTOR ADD-BACKS | |||||
| Excess Owner Compensation | 120 | 130 | 140 | MD salary above market rate (£180k vs £40k market) | |
| Owner Vehicle & Benefits | 35 | 35 | 38 | Personal vehicle, phone, travel | |
| Owner Pension (Excess) | 25 | 25 | 30 | Contributions above standard employer rate | |
| Spouse on Payroll (Non-Working) | 30 | 30 | 30 | Tax planning — no operational role | |
| Subtotal Owner Add-Backs | 210 | 220 | 238 | ||
| NON-RECURRING / ONE-OFF ITEMS | |||||
| Restructuring Costs | 0 | 85 | 0 | FY24: Workshop reorganisation | |
| Legal & Settlement Costs | 45 | 0 | 0 | FY23: Customer dispute settlement | |
| Aborted M&A / Transaction Costs | 0 | 0 | 65 | FY25: Aborted acquisition target DD | |
| COVID-Related Catch-Up Costs | 60 | 0 | 0 | FY23: Deferred maintenance catch-up | |
| Bad Debt Write-Off (Exceptional) | 0 | 120 | 0 | FY24: Single customer insolvency | |
| Subtotal One-Off Add-Backs | 105 | 205 | 65 | ||
| PROPERTY & RELATED-PARTY ADJUSTMENTS | |||||
| Below-Market Rent Adjustment | -45 | -45 | -45 | Premises owned by MD — rent £45k below market | |
| Related-Party Contract (Arm's Length) | 0 | 0 | 0 | No adjustment required — at market rate | |
| Subtotal Property Adjustments | -45 | -45 | -45 | ||
| OTHER NORMALISATION ADJUSTMENTS | |||||
| R&D Expenditure (Capitalisation Adj) | 50 | 55 | 60 | R&D expensed but has future economic benefit | |
| Share-Based Compensation | 0 | 15 | 20 | Non-cash charge, add back | |
| Donated / Charitable Items | 8 | 10 | 12 | Discretionary charitable donations | |
| Subtotal Other Adjustments | 58 | 80 | 92 | ||
| TOTAL ADD-BACKS | 328 | 460 | 350 | ||
| ADJUSTED EBITDA | £3,497 | £3,883 | 4049 | ||
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin % | 14.9% | 15.3% | 15.0% | ||
| Uplift from Reported | 10.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | ||
| ADJUSTED EBITDA VALUATION IMPACT | |||||
| Reported EBITDA × Applied Multiple | £30,265 | (3,699 × 8.2x) | |||
| Adjusted EBITDA × Applied Multiple | £33,128 | (4,049 × 8.2x) | |||
| INCREMENTAL VALUE FROM ADD-BACKS | £2,864 | Additional value unlocked | |||
| Incremental Value % | 9.5% | ||||
| EBITDA Bridge Chart Data (FY2025) | £'000 | ||||
| Reported EBITDA | 3699 | ||||
| Owner Add-Backs | 238 | ||||
| One-Off Items | 65 | ||||
| Property Adj | -45 | ||||
| Other Adj | 92 | ||||
| Adjusted EBITDA | 4049 | ||||
Balance Sheet
Financial Model| BALANCE SHEET | |||||
| Precision Engineering Ltd | |||||
| £'000 | |||||
| NON-CURRENT ASSETS | |||||
| Property, Plant & Equipment | 3200 | 3350 | 3500 | Plant, machinery, workshop | |
| Intangible Assets | 450 | 420 | 390 | Software, IP, development costs | |
| Right-of-Use Assets | 1200 | 1050 | 900 | IFRS 16 lease assets | |
| Total Non-Current Assets | 4850 | 4820 | 4790 | ||
| CURRENT ASSETS | |||||
| Trade Receivables | £3,537 | £3,820 | £4,068 | Revenue × Debtor days / 365 | |
| Inventory | 1850 | 1920 | 2000 | WIP, raw materials, finished goods | |
| Prepayments & Other Receivables | 380 | 410 | 435 | ||
| Cash & Cash Equivalents | 1450 | 1800 | 2200 | Growing cash position | |
| Total Current Assets | £7,217 | £7,950 | £8,703 | ||
| TOTAL ASSETS | £12,067 | £12,770 | £13,493 | ||
| EQUITY | |||||
| Share Capital | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
| Retained Earnings | £4,871 | £5,839 | £6,841 | Opening + Net Profit | |
| Total Equity | £4,971 | £5,939 | £6,941 | ||
| NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES | |||||
| Long-Term Borrowings | 2800 | 2500 | 2200 | Reducing via repayments | |
| Lease Liabilities (Non-Current) | 950 | 800 | 650 | IFRS 16 | |
| Deferred Tax Liability | 180 | 195 | 210 | ||
| Total Non-Current Liabilities | 3930 | 3495 | 3060 | ||
| CURRENT LIABILITIES | |||||
| Trade Payables | £1,646 | £1,778 | £1,894 | COGS × Creditor days / 365 | |
| Accruals & Other Payables | 620 | 680 | 740 | ||
| Short-Term Borrowings | 350 | 300 | 250 | Revolving credit facility | |
| Corporation Tax Payable | 300 | 328 | 359 | ~50% of tax charge unpaid at YE | |
| Lease Liabilities (Current) | 250 | 250 | 250 | ||
| Total Current Liabilities | £3,167 | £3,336 | £3,493 | ||
| TOTAL LIABILITIES | £7,097 | £6,831 | £6,553 | ||
| TOTAL EQUITY + LIABILITIES | £12,067 | £12,770 | £13,493 | ||
| Balance Check (Assets - E&L) | 0 | 0 | 0 | Should be zero | |
| NET ASSET VALUE ANALYSIS | |||||
| Total Assets | £12,067 | £12,770 | £13,493 | ||
| Less: Total Liabilities | -£7,097 | -£6,831 | -£6,553 | ||
| Net Asset Value (NAV) | £4,971 | £5,939 | £6,941 | Should equal Total Equity | |
| Tangible NAV (excl. Intangibles) | £4,521 | £5,519 | £6,551 | NAV less goodwill, IP, software | |
| NAV per Share (£) | £4,971 | £5,939 | £6,941 | Based on Share Capital as proxy | |
| Net Debt | 1700 | 1000 | 250 | LT Debt + ST Debt − Cash | |
| Net Debt / Equity | 34.2% | 16.8% | 3.6% | Declining → strengthening balance sheet | |
| Enterprise Value / NAV | 3.49 | How much premium over book value | |||
| Working Capital | £4,051 | £4,614 | £5,211 | Current Assets − Current Liabilities | |
Ratios & Statistics
Financial Model| RATIOS, STATISTICS & ANALYTICAL REVIEW | |||||
| Precision Engineering Ltd — 3-Year Trend Analysis | |||||
| PROFITABILITY RATIOS | |||||
| Gross Profit Margin | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | → Stable | |
| EBITDA Margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | ↑ Improving | |
| EBIT Margin | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | ↑ Improving | |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | ↑ Improving | |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 36.2% | 33.1% | 31.1% | ↓ Declining | |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 14.9% | 15.4% | 16.0% | ↑ Improving | |
| Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) | 31.8% | 31.9% | 32.2% | ↑ Improving | |
| Revenue per Employee (£'000) | 138 | 142 | 146 | FY23: 170, FY24: 178, FY25: 185 staff | |
| EBITDA per Employee (£'000) | 18.64 | 19.23 | 19.99 | ↑ Improving | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 14.9% | 15.3% | 15.0% | ↑ Improving | |
| LIQUIDITY & SOLVENCY RATIOS | |||||
| Current Ratio | 2.28 | 2.38 | 2.49 | >1.5x healthy; >2.0x strong | |
| Quick Ratio (Acid Test) | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.92 | >1.0x adequate | |
| Cash Ratio | 45.8% | 54.0% | 63.0% | >0.5x comfortable | |
| Debt-to-Equity | 63.4% | 47.1% | 35.3% | <1.0x conservative | |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 53.6% | 29.2% | 6.8% | <2.0x bankable; <3.0x acceptable | |
| Interest Coverage (EBITDA/Interest) | 17.61 | 20.74 | 24.66 | >4.0x strong debt serviceability | |
| Gearing (Debt/Total Capital) | 38.8% | 32.0% | 26.1% | <40% conservative | |
| Equity Ratio | 41.2% | 46.5% | 51.4% | >50% well-capitalised | |
| Debt Service Coverage Ratio | 6.60 | 7.36 | 8.22 | EBITDA / (Interest + Principal repay £300k) | |
| EFFICIENCY & WORKING CAPITAL | |||||
| Trade Receivable Days | 55.00 | 55 | 55 | Target: 55 days (per Assumptions) | |
| Trade Payable Days | 40 | 40 | 40 | Target: 40 days (per Assumptions) | |
| Inventory Days | 44.95 | 43.19 | 42.25 | WIP + raw materials + finished goods | |
| Cash Conversion Cycle (days) | 59.95 | 58.19 | 57.25 | Receivable + Inventory - Payable days | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.95 | 1.99 | 2.00 | Revenue / Total Assets | |
| Fixed Asset Turnover | 4.84 | 5.26 | 5.64 | Revenue / Non-Current Assets | |
| Working Capital (£'000) | £4,051 | £4,614 | £5,211 | Current Assets − Current Liabilities | |
| DUPONT ANALYSIS (ROE DECOMPOSITION) | |||||
| Net Profit Margin | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | Profitability component | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.95 | 1.99 | 2.00 | Efficiency component | |
| Equity Multiplier (Assets/Equity) | 2.43 | 2.15 | 1.94 | Leverage component | |
| ROE (= Margin × Turnover × Multiplier) | 36.2% | 33.1% | 31.1% | Cross-check: should match ROE above | |
| ALTMAN Z-SCORE (PRIVATE COMPANY) | |||||
| X1: Working Capital / Total Assets | 33.6% | 36.1% | 38.6% | × 0.717 | |
| X2: Retained Earnings / Total Assets | 40.4% | 45.7% | 50.7% | × 0.847 | |
| X3: EBIT / Total Assets | 21.4% | 21.8% | 22.4% | × 3.107 | |
| X4: Book Equity / Total Liabilities | 70.0% | 86.9% | 1.06 | × 0.420 | |
| X5: Revenue / Total Assets | 1.95 | 1.99 | 2.00 | × 0.998 | |
| ALTMAN Z-SCORE | 3.48 | 3.67 | 3.84 | ✅ Safe Zone (>2.9) | |
| GROWTH & VALUE METRICS | |||||
| Revenue Growth YoY | n/a | 8.0% | 6.5% | ||
| EBITDA Growth YoY | n/a | 8.0% | 8.1% | ||
| Net Profit Growth YoY | n/a | 9.2% | 9.5% | ||
| 2-Year Revenue CAGR (FY23-FY25) | 7.2% | Compound annual growth rate | |||
| Book Value per Share (£'000) | £4,971 | £5,939 | £6,941 | Equity / Share Capital × 100 | |
| Net Asset Value (£'000) | £4,971 | £5,939 | £6,941 | Total Equity (book value) | |
| Ratio Chart Data | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | ||
| Gross Margin | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | ||
| EBITDA Margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | ||
| Net Margin | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | ||
Forecast
Financial Model| 5-YEAR BUSINESS FORECAST | |||||||
| Based on 5% Revenue CAGR from FY2025 base | |||||||
| £'000 | |||||||
| Revenue | 27000 | 28350 | £29,768 | £31,256 | £32,819 | £34,460 | |
| Revenue Growth % | Base | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | |
| Cost of Sales | -17280 | -18144 | -£19,051 | -£20,004 | -£21,004 | -£22,054 | |
| Gross Profit | 9720 | 10206 | £10,716 | £11,252 | £11,815 | £12,405 | |
| Gross Margin % | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | |
| Total Operating Expenses | -6021 | -£6,322 | -£6,638 | -£6,970 | -£7,319 | -£7,684 | |
| EBITDA | 3699 | £3,884 | £4,078 | £4,282 | £4,496 | £4,721 | |
| EBITDA Margin % | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | |
| Depreciation & Amortisation | -675 | -709 | -744 | -781 | -820 | -861 | |
| EBIT | 3024 | £3,175 | £3,334 | £3,501 | £3,676 | £3,859 | |
| Interest Expense | -150 | -142 | -149 | -156 | -164 | -172 | |
| Profit Before Tax | 2874 | £3,033 | £3,185 | £3,344 | £3,512 | £3,687 | |
| Taxation | -718 | -758 | -796 | -836 | -878 | -922 | |
| Net Profit | £2,156 | £2,275 | £2,389 | £2,508 | £2,634 | £2,765 | |
| Net Margin % | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | |
| Free Cash Flow Proxy | |||||||
| EBITDA | 3699 | £3,884 | £4,078 | £4,282 | £4,496 | £4,721 | |
| Less: Tax on EBIT | -756 | -794 | -833 | -875 | -919 | -965 | |
| Less: Capex | -810 | -850 | -893 | -938 | -985 | -£1,034 | |
| Less: Working Capital Increase | -540 | -567 | -595 | -625 | -656 | -689 | |
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) | 1593 | £1,673 | £1,756 | £1,844 | £1,936 | £2,033 | |
| Chart Data | FY2025 | FY2026F | FY2027F | FY2028F | FY2029F | FY2030F | |
| Revenue | 27000 | 28350 | £29,768 | £31,256 | £32,819 | £34,460 | |
| EBITDA | 3699 | £3,884 | £4,078 | £4,282 | £4,496 | £4,721 | |
DCF Valuation
Valuation| DCF VALUATION MODEL | |||||||
| Discounted Cash Flow Analysis | |||||||
| £'000 | |||||||
| Unlevered Free Cash Flow | £1,673 | £1,756 | £1,844 | £1,936 | £2,033 | ||
| Terminal Value (Gordon Growth) | £27,786 | ||||||
| Discount Factor | 90.9% | 82.6% | 75.1% | 68.3% | 62.1% | 62.1% | |
| PV of Cash Flows | £1,521 | £1,451 | £1,385 | £1,323 | £1,262 | £17,253 | |
| Sum of PV of FCFs | £6,942 | ||||||
| PV of Terminal Value | £17,253 | ||||||
| Enterprise Value (DCF) | £24,195 | ||||||
| ENTERPRISE VALUE TO EQUITY VALUE BRIDGE | |||||||
| Enterprise Value (DCF) | £24,195 | ||||||
| Less: Total Debt | -2450 | ||||||
| Less: Lease Liabilities | -900 | ||||||
| Add: Cash & Cash Equivalents | 2200 | ||||||
| Equity Value (DCF) | £23,045 | ||||||
| Implied EV/EBITDA | 6.54 | ||||||
| Implied EV/Revenue | 89.6% | ||||||
| SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Enterprise Value (£'000) | |||||||
| WACC \ Terminal Growth | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||
| 8.0% | £28,932 | £30,848 | £33,113 | £35,830 | £39,151 | ||
| 9.0% | £25,013 | £26,384 | £27,967 | £29,814 | £31,996 | ||
| 10.0% | £22,017 | £23,038 | £24,195 | £25,518 | £27,044 | ||
| 11.0% | £19,654 | £20,437 | £21,312 | £22,297 | £23,413 | ||
| 12.0% | £17,742 | £18,358 | £19,038 | £19,793 | £20,638 | ||
| 13.0% | £16,164 | £16,657 | £17,197 | £17,791 | £18,447 | ||
| 14.0% | £14,840 | £15,241 | £15,677 | £16,153 | £16,674 | ||
Comparable Analysis
Valuation| COMPARABLE COMPANY ANALYSIS | |||||
| Market Multiple Approach | |||||
| Comparable Companies | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | EV (£m) | EV/Revenue | EV/EBITDA |
| Bodycote plc | 743 | 204 | 1780 | 2.40 | 8.73 |
| Spirax Group plc | 1630 | 396 | 7200 | 4.42 | 18.18 |
| IMI plc | 2100 | 420 | 6500 | 3.10 | 15.48 |
| Renishaw plc | 688 | 152 | 3200 | 4.65 | 21.05 |
| Rotork plc | 615 | 158 | 3100 | 5.04 | 19.62 |
| Mean | 3.92 | 16.61 | |||
| Median | 4.42 | 18.18 | |||
| VALUATION APPLICATION | |||||
| EV/Revenue | EV/EBITDA | ||||
| Size/Liquidity Discount | 25.0% | 45.0% | Discount for SME vs listed peers | ||
| Applied Multiple (Median × Discount) | 1.10 | 8.18 | |||
| Subject Company Metrics (£'000) | |||||
| FY2025 Revenue | 27000 | ||||
| FY2025 EBITDA | 3699 | ||||
| Implied Enterprise Value (£'000) | £29,816 | £30,265 | |||
| Equity Value (£'000) | £28,666 | £29,115 | |||
| Valuation Summary (£'000) | |||||
| Methodology | Enterprise Value | Equity Value | |||
| DCF (Base Case) | £24,195 | £23,045 | |||
| EV/Revenue (Comps) | £29,816 | £28,666 | |||
| EV/EBITDA (Comps) | £30,265 | £29,115 | |||
| Valuation Range | £24,195 - £30,265 | £23,045 - £29,115 | |||
Assumptions
Valuation| 7.5% | ||||
| Company Overview | Value | Unit | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company Name | Precision Engineering Ltd | Test case - illustrative data | ||
| Sector | Engineering Services | |||
| FY2025 Revenue | 27000000 | £ | Base year turnover | |
| Valuation Date | 2025-03-31 00:00:00 | |||
| Revenue Assumptions | ||||
| Revenue CAGR (Forecast) | 5.0% | % | Per client instruction | |
| Historical Revenue Growth (FY23-24) | 8.0% | % | Assumed historical | |
| Historical Revenue Growth (FY24-25) | 6.5% | % | Assumed historical | |
| P&L Margin Assumptions | ||||
| Gross Margin | 36.0% | % | Engineering sector typical 33-40% | |
| EBITDA Margin | 13.5% | % | Mid-range for engineering | |
| Depreciation (% of Revenue) | 2.5% | % | Asset-moderate business | |
| Interest Rate on Debt | 5.5% | % | Current market rate | |
| Effective Tax Rate | 25.0% | % | UK Corporation Tax | |
| Valuation Assumptions | ||||
| WACC (Discount Rate) | 10.0% | % | SME engineering risk premium | |
| Terminal Growth Rate | 2.5% | % | Long-term GDP proxy | |
| EV/EBITDA Multiple (Comparable) | 7.50 | x | Engineering sector median | |
| EV/Revenue Multiple (Comparable) | 1 | x | Engineering sector median | |
| Balance Sheet Assumptions | ||||
| Trade Receivable Days | 55 | days | Engineering sector typical | |
| Trade Payable Days | 40 | days | Standard terms | |
| Capex (% of Revenue) | 3.0% | % | Maintenance + growth capex |
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